tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 92%

  1. 05:20 PDX → 08:00 PHX
    AA 2658 · American · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 11:46 SBA
    AA 3784 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip6h 26mPDX 05:20 to SBA 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.