tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Medford via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:20 PDX → 08:00 PHX
    AA 2658 · American · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:11 PHX → 12:50 MFR
    AA 6253 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 30mPDX 05:20 to MFR 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.