tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Oakland via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:20 PDX → 08:00 PHX
    AA 2658 · American · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 OAK
    WN 2680 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 15mPDX 05:20 to OAK 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.