tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 22:35 SFO → 07:08 PHL
    AA 2663 · American · 5h 33m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHL → 12:55 IND +1 day
    AA 5240 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 86% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 11h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 20mSFO 22:35 to IND 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.