tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 12:55 SNA → 18:14 DFW
    AA 2669 · American · 3h 19m · 58% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:12 DFW → 22:59 MIA
    AA 1824 · American · 2h 47m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 04mSNA 12:55 to MIA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.