tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 12:47 VPS → 15:38 CLT
    AA 2671 · American · 1h 51m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 CLT → 18:29 LGA
    AA 1722 · American · 2h 03m · 54% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 46mVPS 12:47 to LGA 18:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.