tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 11:31 SNA → 17:55 ORD
    AA 2679 · American · 4h 29m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 22:05 ATL
    AA 2779 · American · 2h 04m · 51% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 32mSNA 11:31 to ATL 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.