tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:31 SNA → 17:55 ORD
    AA 2679 · American · 4h 29m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 ORD → 23:59 CLT
    AA 2976 · American · 2h 05m · 62% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 28mSNA 11:31 to CLT 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.