tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 67%

  1. 12:00 ORD → 15:08 CLT
    AA 2681 · American · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 CLT → 20:40 DAY
    AA 5435 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 70% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 41mORD 12:00 to DAY 20:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.