tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Orlando via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 14:24 SNA → 19:44 DFW
    AA 2684 · American · 3h 20m · 78% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DFW → 00:21 MCO +1 day
    AA 1336 · American · 2h 46m · 52% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 57mSNA 14:24 to MCO 00:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.