tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:24 SNA → 19:44 DFW
    AA 2684 · American · 3h 20m · 78% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:33 DFW → 21:37 AUS
    AA 2707 · American · 1h 04m · 55% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 13mSNA 14:24 to AUS 21:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.