tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 19:32 SNA → 20:57 PHX
    AA 2685 · American · 1h 25m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:50 PHX → 06:25 ORD +1 day
    AA 1148 · American · 3h 35m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 53mSNA 19:32 to ORD 06:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.