tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 19:32 SNA → 20:57 PHX
    AA 2685 · American · 1h 25m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PHX → 00:47 DEN +1 day
    AA 3255 · American · 1h 52m · 63% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 05mSNA 19:32 to DEN 00:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.