Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 28%
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18:00 ORD → 22:17 MIAAA 2690 · American · 3h 17m · 45% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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23:13 MIA → 00:19 TPA +1 dayAA 1714 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 19mORD 18:00 to TPA 00:19, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.