tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:34 ORD → 20:50 CLT
    AA 2695 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 CLT → 22:53 RIC
    AA 993 · American · 1h 14m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 20mORD 17:34 to RIC 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.