tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → St Louis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:23 SRQ → 15:09 PHL
    AA 2700 · American · 2h 47m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:00 PHL → 19:30 STL
    WN 2679 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 52% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip8h 12mSRQ 12:23 to STL 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.