tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Indianapolis via Boston: arrives on time 85%

  1. 21:45 PHX → 05:45 BOS
    AA 2701 · American · 5h 00m · 87% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 BOS → 09:45 IND +1 day
    AA 4435 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 45m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip9h 00mPHX 21:45 to IND 09:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.