tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:41 SRQ → 19:35 DFW
    AA 2704 · American · 2h 53m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:24 IAH
    AA 2209 · American · 1h 14m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip5h 43mSRQ 17:41 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.