tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → El Paso via Phoenix: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:25 IAH → 15:16 PHX
    AA 2710 · American · 2h 53m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 PHX → 18:25 ELP
    AA 2423 · American · 1h 15m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 00mIAH 14:25 to ELP 18:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.