tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 77%

  1. 14:25 IAH → 15:16 PHX
    AA 2710 · American · 2h 53m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 PHX → 17:54 TUS
    AA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 29mIAH 14:25 to TUS 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.