tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Fort Lauderdale via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 9%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 DFW → 23:58 FLL
    AA 1393 · American · 2h 50m · 36% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 45mSTL 17:13 to FLL 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.