tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 13%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 DFW → 23:59 TPA
    AA 2256 · American · 2h 29m · 37% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip5h 46mSTL 17:13 to TPA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.