tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 DFW → 23:39 ORD
    AA 2346 · American · 2h 39m · 63% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 26mSTL 17:13 to ORD 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.