tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Jacksonville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 12%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 DFW → 23:41 JAX
    AA 2506 · American · 2h 25m · 40% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 28mSTL 17:13 to JAX 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.