tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 DFW → 00:35 PHL +1 day
    AA 2542 · American · 3h 16m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 22mSTL 17:13 to PHL 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.