tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 10%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 23:56 MIA
    AA 2823 · American · 2h 51m · 41% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 43mSTL 17:13 to MIA 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.