tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 14%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 23:48 RDU
    AA 542 · American · 2h 44m · 58% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 35mSTL 17:13 to RDU 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.