tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Panama City Beach via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:13 STL → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2712 · American · 2h 02m · 32% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 DFW → 22:36 ECP
    AA 3565 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 02m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 23mSTL 17:13 to ECP 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.