tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:02 ORD → 14:28 LAX
    AA 2718 · American · 4h 21m · 73% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:54 LAX → 20:41 HNL
    AA 297 · American · 5h 47m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 13h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip13h 39mORD 12:02 to HNL 20:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.