tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 56%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:38 DFW → 11:11 MEM
    AA 1935 · American · 1h 32m · 64% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 19mEWR 05:51 to MEM 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.