tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:49 DFW → 13:25 SMF
    AA 2078 · American · 3h 48m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 46mEWR 05:51 to SMF 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.