tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Ontario via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 DFW → 11:45 ONT
    AA 2242 · American · 3h 05m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 54mEWR 05:51 to ONT 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.