tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 59%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 DFW → 13:06 TPA
    AA 3245 · American · 2h 32m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 16mEWR 05:51 to TPA 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.