tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 DFW → 12:48 SDF
    AA 3791 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 17m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 57mEWR 05:51 to SDF 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.