tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:51 EWR → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2728 · American · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DFW → 13:25 AUS
    AA 4095 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 05m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 34mEWR 05:51 to AUS 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.