tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 TYS → 08:12 MIA
    AA 2730 · American · 2h 12m · 76% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 55mTYS 06:00 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.