tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Pensacola via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:13 STL → 21:12 CLT
    AA 2731 · American · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 CLT → 23:08 PNS
    AA 1007 · American · 1h 43m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 55mSTL 18:13 to PNS 23:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.