tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 18:13 STL → 21:12 CLT
    AA 2731 · American · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:01 ORD +1 day
    AA 3014 · American · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 48mSTL 18:13 to ORD 00:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.