tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Panama City Beach via Charlotte: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:13 STL → 21:12 CLT
    AA 2731 · American · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 CLT → 23:40 ECP
    AA 5633 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 57% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 27mSTL 18:13 to ECP 23:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.