tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Orlando via Miami: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:50 STT → 19:54 MIA
    AA 2738 · American · 3h 04m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 MIA → 22:08 MCO
    AA 1700 · American · 1h 18m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 18mSTT 16:50 to MCO 22:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.