tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:17 ORD → 21:52 TPA
    AA 353 · American · 2h 50m · 63% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 37mDFW 15:30 to TPA 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.