tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:09 ORD → 21:58 TYS
    AA 5001 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 67% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 28mDFW 15:30 to TYS 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.