tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 ORD → 21:25 BNA
    AA 6326 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 53% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 55mDFW 15:30 to BNA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.