tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:14 ORD → 22:39 ORF
    AA 4510 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 09mDFW 15:30 to ORF 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.