tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Harrisburg via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 ORD → 00:22 MDT +1 day
    AA 4640 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Harrisburg is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 52mDFW 15:30 to MDT 00:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.