tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Miami via Charlotte Amalie: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:06 JFK → 10:59 STT
    AA 2741 · American · 3h 53m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Charlotte Amalie (STT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 STT → 16:50 MIA
    AA 2744 · American · 3h 01m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 44mJFK 07:06 to MIA 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.