tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → San Juan via New York: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:39 STT → 15:59 JFK
    AA 2741 · American · 4h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:29 JFK → 22:45 SJU
    B6 2903 · JetBlue · 4h 16m · 60% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip11h 06mSTT 11:39 to SJU 22:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.