tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Orlando via Miami: arrives on time 57%

  1. 13:49 STT → 16:50 MIA
    AA 2744 · American · 3h 01m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:11 MIA → 20:28 MCO
    AA 2803 · American · 1h 18m · 60% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 40mSTT 13:49 to MCO 20:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.