tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Minneapolis via Washington: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:57 MCO → 09:20 DCA
    AA 2745 · American · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DCA → 12:20 MSP
    AA 3796 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 23mMCO 06:57 to MSP 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.