tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 63%

  1. 05:05 SEA → 11:02 DFW
    AA 2748 · American · 3h 57m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:57 DFW → 15:16 TUL
    AA 5420 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 11mSEA 05:05 to TUL 15:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.